Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 9.922728 11.322413 12.854239 14.656003 16.718555 19.007431 21.742326
2026-01-25 7.842203 9.632575 11.743441 14.419169 17.725978 21.685922 26.799063
2026-02-01 6.599584 8.542732 10.958618 14.189508 18.408236 23.745153 31.034228
2026-02-08 5.706726 7.711397 10.314723 13.953248 18.924916 25.506437 34.924282
2026-02-15 5.018102 7.037840 9.761584 13.717070 19.339726 27.083724 38.626303
2026-02-22 4.721543 6.849357 9.818935 14.284573 20.865563 30.263719 44.805550
2026-03-01 4.373188 6.541140 9.662292 14.507123 21.885322 32.775799 50.212732
2026-03-08 4.001885 6.156200 9.347544 14.448031 22.454257 34.637558 54.771174
2026-03-15 3.667180 5.790713 9.021258 14.326978 22.894364 36.309078 59.145181
2026-03-22 3.510895 5.684892 9.077870 14.798484 24.291331 39.570526 66.337994
2026-03-29 3.352710 5.559145 9.087053 15.184867 25.569010 42.726259 73.616414
2026-04-05 3.226723 5.473036 9.148785 15.655278 27.014022 46.259704 81.833096
2026-04-12 2.950290 5.114086 8.734189 15.290344 27.012220 47.359733 85.934933
2026-04-19 2.722130 4.818852 8.402862 15.039129 27.182359 48.763062 90.698105
2026-04-26 2.519327 4.550649 8.095110 14.799392 27.343501 50.147369 95.526164
2026-05-03 2.335389 4.300875 7.799015 14.552682 27.463427 51.452259 100.299058
2026-05-10 2.168861 4.069372 7.516997 14.306064 27.556431 52.701971 105.056573
2026-05-17 2.131387 4.075754 7.672181 14.898661 29.304778 57.240851 116.747033
2026-05-24 2.048673 3.988772 7.644092 15.131059 30.360190 60.505929 126.129741
2026-05-31 1.936081 3.834700 7.475215 15.069351 30.816240 62.605204 133.259568
2026-06-07 1.824850 3.674756 7.282605 14.942941 31.125793 64.423442 139.940721
2026-06-14 1.789770 3.665547 7.387817 15.435320 32.763223 69.119606 153.299201
2026-06-21 1.746499 3.635996 7.449046 15.838822 34.241402 73.592582 166.562649